Shining a Light Inside the Black Box 2

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Truly effective travel forecasting models don't just happen; they are the final outcome of long process of collecting data, analyzing travel patterns, and testing alternative model structures. The ultimate goal is to find the modeling procedures that both explain today's travel patterns and describe how travel will evolve under a variety of growth, policy, and infrastructure development scenarios. Too often, however, data on travel behavior is lacking and insufficient attention is given to fully understanding the details of how forecasting models represent that behavior. Since travel forecasting models are often seen as "Black Boxes," the solution is to shine a light inside these boxes to expose the inner workings and learn what works and what still needs to be improved. This Webinar series is intended to describe the experience, both good and bad, in looking into the Black Box.

Bill Woodford is president of AECOM Consult in Arlington, Virginia.
David Schmitt is senior manager with AECOM Consult in Columbus, Ohio and has extensive experience with urban highway and transit models for project planning and model development purposes.

TMIP Online Event
Shining a Light Inside the Black Box (2): Model Testing

Intended Audience
Travel forecasting modelers.

Item Type
Recorded Webinar

Related Items
Shining a Light Inside the Black Box 1
Shining a Light Inside the Black Box 3
Shining a Light Inside the Black Box 4